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Arizona (11 electoral votes) - Lean Republican. Other counties to watch: Almost half of all of Obama's votes in 2012 came from just three places Milwaukee City, Milwaukee County and Dane (Madison, home to the University of Wisconsin). That means, watch Bucks and Northampton counties. Where did all the bellwether counties go? - HotAir Bellwether 2016 It came close to reflecting the statewide vote in 2012. President-elect Biden on Electoral College vote: Clear victory. "It wasn't part of his strategy.". Jeff. Dave Wasserman, who analyzes election data for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, told the Wall Street Journal that ticket-splitting appeared to make "a fashion comeback in many places.". The statistics also are not indicative of electoral fraud. Combined, they had more than twice the votes of Denver proper and 30 percent of all the votes statewide. Colorado (9 electoral votes) - Lean Democratic. Demographically, the bellwether counties tended to be whiter, older, less . . This fact check is available at IFCNs 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. It went with the exact margin for Romney in 2012 statewide and McCain statewide in 2008. Here are the concepts we have established so far: This is just the beginning. Hillary Clinton (578) One of the highest income counties in the nation and a longtime GOP Midwestern stronghold, in recent years the suburban behemoth has begun trending toward Democrats -- not even Mitt Romney, who grew up here, could win it. Website Updates Paused Or even better, if you have children, get them to do it for you. And speak out if youve been a witness to election tampering. "I asked if they were from the Republican Party, and they said they were," she says. Trump also needs to overperform in Macomb, another Detroit suburb, which narrowly went for Obama in 2012. Copyright 2023 HotAir.com/Salem Media. Washoe County2016 caucus winners: Sanders, Trump2012: Obama 51%, Romney 47%, Latest voter registration totals:Republican: 105,410Democrats: 102,422Unaffiliated: 53,048Others: 19,815. Not a bad streak. Third, it lists the fractionof bellwether counties each candidate won Obama at 18 of 19, Trump at 18 of 19 and Biden at one of 19. But that's no longer the case. On Dec. 1, formerAttorney General William Barr also told the Associated Pressthe U.S. Justice Department had uncovered no such evidence. Driving up the margins in those places will be key for Clinton. The 13 Bellwether Counties That Could Decide The Election. To do so, the popular vote winner of each county for every presidential election from 1980 through 2016 was tabulated and mapped, yielding 19 true bellwether counties for the period. 3. 2016 Election (1135) His win in 2012 was by a smaller margin in Forsyth County than in 2008, as the state flipped back to Mitt Romney. In Westmoreland County, Virginia - a small, rural community south of Washington DC that's failed to be a bellwether only twice since 1928, and is home to twice the number of African Americans than the national average - he beat Mr Biden by 16 points. Michigan (16 electoral votes) - Lean Democratic. Now imagine getting 21 out of 22! "There are more and more places in this country that are consistently red or blue, so there are fewer and fewer counties that swing back and forth from election to election," he said. The table shows the number of counties that voted for the winning candidate since the 1988 election. Arapahoe County. Pittsburghs Allegheny County, the second-most populous county in the state after Philadelphia, is heavily Democratic.